Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction odds spread line 2022 NFL picks Week 18 best bets from model on 135-96 run

Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction odds spread line 2022 NFL picks Week 18 best bets from model on 135-96 run

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The will attempt to end a streak of futility against the when the AFC West rivals meet Saturday in the regular-season finale for both teams. Although the Broncos (7-9) already are a sured of their fifth consecutive losing season, they have an opportunity to put another unfortunate trend to rest by beating the Chiefs for the first time since Week 2 of the 2015 season. Conversely, Kansas City (11-5) has a chance to earn the top seed in the AFC playoffs CM Punk Kids Jersey if it can best Denver for the 13th straight time.Kickoff is set for 4:30 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High. The latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds from Caesars Sportsbook list Kansas City as the 11-point favorite, while the over-under for total points is set at 44.5. Before finalizing any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you .The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,200 for $100 players on top-rated since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 18 of the 2021 season on an incredible 135-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates to the 2017 season.The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it has seen ma sive returns. Now, the model has zeroed in on from every angle and released its top NFL Week 18 picks. . Here are the and trends for Broncos vs. Chiefs:Chiefs vs. Broncos point spread: Chiefs -11Chiefs vs. Broncos over-under total: 44.5 pointsChiefs vs. Broncos money line: Chiefs -600, Broncos +425KC: The Chiefs are 6-1 against Richard Panik Kids Jersey the spread in their last seven games as a favoriteDEN: The Broncos have won and covered in three of their past four home gamesWhy the Chiefs can coverOne encouraging sign for the Chiefs is that they appear to have a reliable and effective running back in , who started the season low on the depth chart but now could prove to be one of their most important players. Second-year pro has been effective when healthy, but the LSU product already has a reputation of being injury-prone and he's been ruled out for Saturday with a shoulder/collarbone i sue.Williams is a fourth-year pro who went undrafted out of LSU four years ago. With Edwards-Helaire sidelined last week, Williams stepped up with perhaps the best performance of his career. He rushed 14 times for 88 yards and two touchdowns and added three catches for 19 yards, two of which picked up first downs. Williams will likely again be counted on in a key role. He is now the team's rushing leader with 541 yards on the season and needs just 37 total yards from scrimmage to break 1,000 for the season. Only wideout and tight end have eclipsed that feat this season.Why the Broncos can coverAlthough head coach VicFangio's job security could be at risk regardle s of the outcome Saturday, his supporters will point out that the defensive-minded coach has worked wonders with the defensive unit despite myriad obstacles the past two seasons. For one, franchise cornerstone was traded to the , and starting linebackers and Alexander Johnson were lost early to season-ending injuries. What's more, stalwarts such as and have mi sed numerous games because of both injuries and health and safety protocols.Even so, through 16 games the defense has yielded just 294 points (18.4 ppg, No. 3 in the NFL), which is two points better than the historic defense that led the Broncos to a Super Bowl title six years ago. The scoring defensive average is the franchise's best mark in the past 16 years. Moreover, Chubb and several other key defenders are Clark Griswold Kids Jersey scheduled to be back on the field after mi sing last week's game against the because of health and safety protocols. The defense held Kansas City to just 267 total yards in their first meeting. How to make Broncos vs. Chiefs picksThe model is leaning over on the total, projecting 45 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. So who wins Chiefs vs. Broncos on Saturday? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? , and find out.